Extreme coastal erosion enhanced by anomalous extratropical storm wave direction
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Coastal Dynamics 2013 1277 DOES A MORE SOPHISTICATED STORM EROSION MODEL IMPROVE PROBABILISTIC EROSION ESTIMATES?
The dependency between the accuracy/uncertainty of storm erosion exceedance estimates obtained via a probabilistic model and the level of sophistication of the structural function (storm erosion model) embedded in the probabilistic model is assessed via the application of Callaghan et al.'s (2008) Joint Probability Model (JPM) at Narrabeen beach, Australia with three different structural functi...
متن کاملJoint Probability Analysis of Extreme Precipitation and Storm Tide in a Coastal City under Changing Environment
Catastrophic flooding resulting from extreme meteorological events has occurred more frequently and drawn great attention in recent years in China. In coastal areas, extreme precipitation and storm tide are both inducing factors of flooding and therefore their joint probability would be critical to determine the flooding risk. The impact of storm tide or changing environment on flooding is igno...
متن کاملThe Prediction of Extratropical Storm Tracks by the ECMWF and NCEP Ensemble Prediction Systems
The prediction of extratropical cyclones by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) has been investigated using an objective feature tracking methodology to identify and track the cyclones along the forecast trajectories. Overall the results show that the ECMWF EPS has a slight...
متن کاملMajor coastal impact induced by a 1000-year storm event
Extreme storms and storm surges may induce major changes along sandy barrier coastlines, potentially causing substantial environmental and economic damage.We show that themost destructive storm (the 1634 AD storm) documented for the northern Wadden Sea within the last thousand years both caused permanent barrier breaching and initiated accumulation of up to several metres of marine sand. An agg...
متن کاملBivariate Analysis of Extreme Wave and Storm Surge Events. Determin- ing the Failure Area of Structures
In the present paper a bivariate process of extreme waves and storm surges at a Dutch station on the North Sea is considered. A bivariate logistic model and a sequential estimation procedure are used to extract joint exceedance probabilities of the two variables. The parameters of the margins of the bivariate distribution are defined by three different methods of estimation: a) the Maximum Like...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Scientific Reports
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-05792-1